Legendary Merrill Lynch forecaster Gary Shilling warns of a 2026 economic collapse driven by frozen housing, plummeting capital expenditures and weak consumers.
While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy and geopolitical shocks, the ...
Despite heightened volatility across financial markets in recent sessions, signals from prediction markets suggest recession fears are easing rather than intensifying. Kalshi data indicates the ...
As rising prices at the gas pump hit consumers’ wallets, Americans already hunting for cheaper fuel may soon confront a bigger challenge: preparing for a potential recession. Oil price surges ...
Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are beginning to ripple through financial markets, prompting traders to reassess the outlook for the global economy. Activity on prediction market ...
Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the odds of a U.S. recession have been rising on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Odds are currently hovering around 30%, although ...
Economic slowdowns rarely arrive with a flashing warning sign. More often, they show up in obscure data releases, weaker ...
Stocks are still soaring, but a market slump could potentially be on the horizon.
Economists have pulled up their risk assessments of a U.S. contraction amid heightened uncertainty over geopolitical risk and a labor market that for the past year has shown strains. "I'm concerned ...
Goldman Sachs puts U.S. recession odds at 25% and JPMorgan at 35%, driven by oil spiking from $70 to $98 after the Iran conflict, February payrolls losing 92,000 jobs, and inflation stuck above 3%.
Prediction markets have started to see the odds of recession increasing this year. Investors would be smart to stick to a strategy focused on dollar-cost averaging into a core ETF holding. 10 stocks ...